暨南经院学术系列活动之区域科学系列Seminar第29期
主题：China’s Structural Transformation and Mobility Barriers
主讲人：赵敏强 厦门大学
主持人：陈安平 拉菲系列门徒
时间：2023年10月20日（周五）下午15：30-17：00
地点：拉菲系列门徒石牌校区拉菲系列门徒大楼（中惠楼）217室
摘要
This paper examines the role of mobility barriers in shaping the structural transformation of rural and urban China from 1985 to 2010. We document the employment patterns in five sectors: agriculture, rural industry, rural services, urban industry, and urban services. A simple two-region two-sector model is constructed to illustrate how structural transformation occurs with tradable industries and non-tradable services. We then extend the model to include the agricultural sector and the policy features from Ngai et al. (2019), as well as migration costs. The extended model is calibrated to match the key features of the Chinese economy. The model-generated employment shares match well with the actual ones, especially for agriculture, urban industry, and urban service sectors. Our counterfactual experiments reveal that the land policy has a stronger effect on rural structural transformation, while the subsidy policy has a greater influence on migration decisions and urban structural transformation. However, neither policy is a major determinant of labor allocation across sectors and regions. Furthermore, we show that technological progress is the main driver of structural transformation in rural and urban China.
赵敏强，厦门大学王亚南经济研究院副教授，2010年获得美国俄亥俄州立大学经济学博士学位，主要研究领域为环境经济学与劳动经济学。他的研究成果发表于Journal of Environmental Economics and Management，American Journal of Agricultural Economics，Journal of Development Economics，Regional Science and Urban Economics等期刊。
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